TORVANTA
Financials · S&P 500 · data as of 2026-10-05

PGR stock analysis: Progressive

Progressive (PGR) is an S&P 500 company in Property & Casualty Insurance. It grades weakest on growth.

The model's view of PGR · subscribers

Where PGR ranks among the 1,500 U.S. stocks the model scores each trading day, its expected return, the evidence for and against it, and whether the model portfolio holds it. The grades below describe the company's data; they are not the model's view.

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What's happening with PGR · updated 2026-10-05 · from prices and SEC filings

PGR price performance

PGR against the S&P 500, one year
+0%+20%S&P 500 +18%PGR -7%2025-09-292026-10-05
Year to date-0.5%S&P 500 +14.5% · behind by 15.0 pts
1 year-7.8%S&P 500 +17.0% · behind by 24.8 pts
3 years+63.3%S&P 500 +89.3% · behind by 25.9 pts
5 years+160.7%S&P 500 +91.3% · ahead by 69.4 pts

Total returns with dividends reinvested.

PGR factor grades

Each grade compares PGR with the rest of its sector (A+ best, F worst); the numbers behind it are shown with the typical figure for its peers.

BValueP/E 10.7x (industry 8.9x)FCF yield 12.9% (industry 14.3%)
C-GrowthRevenue growth +10% (industry +6%)EPS growth +12% (industry +38%)
B-Profitability
CMomentum12-month change -8%From 52-wk high -9%

PGR in plain numbers

PGR key statistics

SectorFinancials
IndustryProperty & Casualty Insurance
IndexS&P 500
Market value$123.6B
Revenue growth (y/y)+10%
Free-cash-flow yield12.9%
Dividend yield6.5%
Next earnings (expected)2026-10-14
Valuation measures
Market value$123.6B
Enterprise value$123.4B
P/E (trailing)10.7x
Forward P/E (Torvanta estimate)9.8x
PEG (Torvanta estimate)1.06
Price / sales1.4x
Price / book3.6x
EV / revenue1.4x
Financial highlights
Revenue, last 12 months$91.1B
Net income, last 12 months$11.7B
EPS, last 12 months (GAAP)$19.94
Net margin12.8%
Return on equity34.9%
Cash$193.0M
Free cash flow, last 12 months$16.0B

Company figures from its latest SEC filings; market value and returns from end-of-day prices.

PGR earnings trends

Revenue vs earnings
$0$5.9B$11.8B$17.7B$23.6BSep 2024 Revenue: $19.7BDec 2024 Revenue: $20.3BMar 2025 Revenue: $20.4BJun 2025 Revenue: $22.0BSep 2025 Revenue: $22.5BDec 2025 Revenue: $22.7BMar 2026 Revenue: $22.2BJun 2026 Revenue: $23.6BSep 2024 Net income: $2.3BDec 2024 Net income: $2.4BMar 2025 Net income: $2.6BJun 2025 Net income: $3.2BSep 2025 Net income: $2.6BDec 2025 Net income: $3.0BMar 2026 Net income: $2.8BJun 2026 Net income: $3.3BSep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Net margin: 11.8%Net margin: 11.6%Net margin: 12.6%Net margin: 14.4%Net margin: 11.6%Net margin: 13.0%Net margin: 12.7%Net margin: 14.0%0%7%14%■ Revenue ■ Net income ━ Net margin
Earnings per share$0.0$1.4$2.8$4.3$5.7Sep 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.0Dec 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.0Mar 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.4Jun 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $5.4Sep 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.5Dec 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $5.0Mar 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.8Jun 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $5.7Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026■ EPS (GAAP, diluted) Change from a year earlier: Sep 2025 +12% · Dec 2025 +25% · Mar 2026 +10% · Jun 2026 +5%

From the company's 10-Q and 10-K filings with the SEC.

Progressive financials (from SEC filings)

Fiscal yearFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$47.7B$49.6B$62.1B$75.4B$87.7B
Net income$3.4B$721.5M$3.9B$8.5B$11.3B
EPS (GAAP)$5.67$1.17$6.58$14.40$19.24
Free cash flow$7.5B$6.6B$10.4B$14.8B$17.2B

PGR earnings history

ReportedEPS (GAAP)EPS y/yRevenue y/yStock vs S&P 500, 2 days
2026-07-15$5.67+5%+7%-9.0%
2026-04-15$4.80+10%+9%+2.5%
2026-01-28$5.02+25%+12%+0.3%
2025-10-15$4.45+12%+14%-7.5%
2025-07-16$5.40+118%+21%+1.1%
2025-04-16$4.37+11%+18%-1.8%

About Progressive

HeadquartersMayfield Village, OH
Industry (SEC code)Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Fiscal year endsDecember 31
Incorporated inOH
Listed onNYSE

From the company's SEC registration record.

Companies similar to PGR

CompanyMarket valueP/ERevenue growthOperating margin12-month change
PGR Progressive$123.6B10.7x+10%n/a-8%
CB Chubb$128.2B11.7x+8%n/a+18%compare
TRV Travelers$75.2B9.7x+2%n/a+29%compare
ALL Allstate$56.8B4.5x+6%n/a+9%compare
HIG Hartford$34.2B8.2x+6%n/a-4%
ACGL Arch Capital$32.2B7.4x+0%n/a+4%
WRB WR Berkley$25.9B14.3x+4%n/a-7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PGR stock a buy?

Torvanta does not tell individuals what to buy. Its grades for PGR are shown above. Subscribers see the model's rank, expected return and whether the model portfolio holds it. This is research, not a recommendation.

What is PGR's P/E ratio?

PGR trades at about 10.7 times its last 12 months of GAAP earnings reported to the SEC, and about 9.8 times Torvanta's own estimate of the next 12 months.

When does PGR report earnings next?

Based on its filing history, Torvanta expects Progressive to report around 2026-10-14.

Does PGR pay a dividend?

Yes. Its dividend yield is about 6.5%, and it has raised its dividend 2 years in a row.

How has PGR performed against the S&P 500?

Over the past year PGR returned -7.8%, against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends reinvested.

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Subscribers get the model's rank and expected return for every covered company, the reasoning behind each, and the Torvanta model portfolio's trades each trading day, sized and explained, at three risk levels.

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Torvanta is research only - not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Grades describe a company's reported data against its sector; they are not the model's view, change as data changes and can be wrong. Financial figures come from the company's SEC filings; returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results.

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