TORVANTA
Utilities · S&P 500 · data as of 2026-10-05

VST stock analysis: Vistra

Vistra (VST) is an S&P 500 company in Electric Utilities. It grades weakest on value, momentum and growth.

The model's view of VST · subscribers

Where VST ranks among the 1,500 U.S. stocks the model scores each trading day, its expected return, the evidence for and against it, and whether the model portfolio holds it. The grades below describe the company's data; they are not the model's view.

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What's happening with VST · updated 2026-10-05 · from prices and SEC filings

VST price performance

VST against the S&P 500, one year
-20%+0%+20%S&P 500 +18%VST -26%2025-09-292026-10-05
Year to date-9.8%S&P 500 +14.5% · behind by 24.3 pts
1 year-27.8%S&P 500 +17.0% · behind by 44.9 pts
3 years+366.8%S&P 500 +89.3% · ahead by 277.5 pts
5 years+808.9%S&P 500 +91.3% · ahead by 717.6 pts

Total returns with dividends reinvested.

VST factor grades

Each grade compares VST with the rest of its sector (A+ best, F worst); the numbers behind it are shown with the typical figure for its peers.

C-ValueP/E 24.5x (industry 20.2x)FCF yield 4.6% (industry -3.1%)
C-GrowthRevenue growth +4% (industry +8%)EPS growth -6% (industry +8%)
BProfitabilityOperating margin 18.5% (industry 23.1%)ROIC 11.4% (industry 6.2%)
C-Momentum12-month change -28%From 52-wk high -31%

VST in plain numbers

VST key statistics

SectorUtilities
IndustryElectric Utilities
IndexS&P 500
Market value$48.6B
Revenue growth (y/y)+4%
Free-cash-flow yield4.6%
Dividend yield0.6%
Next earnings (expected)2026-11-05
Valuation measures
Market value$48.6B
Enterprise value$67.8B
P/E (trailing)24.5x
Forward P/E (Torvanta estimate)24.3x
Price / sales2.5x
Price / book8.9x
EV / revenue3.5x
EV / EBITDA12.5x
Financial highlights
Revenue, last 12 months$19.2B
Net income, last 12 months$2.2B
EPS, last 12 months (GAAP)$5.92
Operating margin18.5%
Net margin11.6%
Return on equity43.1%
Return on invested capital11.4%
Cash$435.0M
Total debt$19.6B
Debt / equity3.57x
Free cash flow, last 12 months$2.3B
Interest cover3.1x
Current ratio0.97x

Company figures from its latest SEC filings; market value and returns from end-of-day prices.

VST earnings trends

Revenue vs earnings
-$268.0M$1.4B$3.0B$4.6B$6.3BSep 2024 Revenue: $6.3BDec 2024 Revenue: $4.0BMar 2025 Revenue: $3.9BJun 2025 Revenue: $4.2BSep 2025 Revenue: $5.0BDec 2025 Revenue: $4.6BMar 2026 Revenue: $5.6BJun 2026 Revenue: $4.0BSep 2024 Net income: $1.9BDec 2024 Net income: $441.0MMar 2025 Net income: -$268.0MJun 2025 Net income: $327.0MSep 2025 Net income: $652.0MDec 2025 Net income: $233.0MMar 2026 Net income: $1.0BJun 2026 Net income: $305.0MSep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Net margin: 30.0%Net margin: 10.9%Net margin: -6.8%Net margin: 7.7%Net margin: 13.1%Net margin: 5.1%Net margin: 18.2%Net margin: 7.6%-7%12%30%■ Revenue ■ Net income ━ Net margin
Earnings per share$-0.9$0.6$2.2$3.7$5.3Sep 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $5.3Dec 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $1.1Mar 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-0.9Jun 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $0.8Sep 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $1.8Dec 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $0.5Mar 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $2.9Jun 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $0.8Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026■ EPS (GAAP, diluted) Change from a year earlier: Sep 2025 -67% · Dec 2025 -53% · Jun 2026 -6%

From the company's 10-Q and 10-K filings with the SEC.

Vistra financials (from SEC filings)

Fiscal yearFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$12.1B$13.7B$14.8B$17.2B$17.7B
Net income-$1.3B-$1.2B$1.5B$2.7B$944.0M
EPS (GAAP)$-2.68$-3.21$3.58$7.05$2.17
Free cash flow-$1.2B-$816.0M$3.8B$2.5B$1.3B

VST earnings history

ReportedEPS (GAAP)EPS y/yRevenue y/yStock vs S&P 500, 2 days
2026-08-07$0.76-6%-5%+0.5%
2026-05-07$2.87n/a+43%-7.2%
2026-02-26$0.54-53%+14%+0.2%
2025-11-06$1.75-67%-21%+1.8%
2025-08-07$0.81-10%+11%-0.1%
2025-05-07$-0.93n/a+29%-3.8%

About Vistra

HeadquartersIrving, TX
Industry (SEC code)Electric Services
Fiscal year endsDecember 31
Incorporated inDE
Listed onNYSE
FormerlyVistra Energy Corp., Vistra Energy Corp

From the company's SEC registration record.

Companies similar to VST

CompanyMarket valueP/ERevenue growthOperating margin12-month change
VST Vistra$48.6B24.5x+4%18.5%-28%
ETR Entergy$46.2B25.7x+11%23.1%+9%compare
EXC Exelon$41.8Bn/a+5%21.0%-7%compare
AEP American Electric Power$65.1B17.7x+11%24.0%+8%compare
PEG Public Service Enterprise$34.2B17.1x+13%23.1%-13%
WEC WEC Energy$33.0Bn/a+9%22.8%-8%
DUK Duke Energy$88.7B17.4x+6%27.7%-5%

All Utilities stock ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is VST stock a buy?

Torvanta does not tell individuals what to buy. Its grades for VST are shown above. Subscribers see the model's rank, expected return and whether the model portfolio holds it. This is research, not a recommendation.

What is VST's P/E ratio?

VST trades at about 24.5 times its last 12 months of GAAP earnings reported to the SEC, and about 24.3 times Torvanta's own estimate of the next 12 months.

When does VST report earnings next?

Based on its filing history, Torvanta expects Vistra to report around 2026-11-05.

Does VST pay a dividend?

Yes. Its dividend yield is about 0.6%, and it has raised its dividend 6 years in a row.

How has VST performed against the S&P 500?

Over the past year VST returned -27.8%, against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends reinvested.

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Subscribers get the model's rank and expected return for every covered company, the reasoning behind each, and the Torvanta model portfolio's trades each trading day, sized and explained, at three risk levels.

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Torvanta is research only - not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Grades describe a company's reported data against its sector; they are not the model's view, change as data changes and can be wrong. Financial figures come from the company's SEC filings; returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results.

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