TORVANTA
Health Care · S&P 500 · data as of 2026-10-05

MRNA stock analysis: Moderna

Moderna (MRNA) is an S&P 500 company in Biotechnology. It grades strongest on momentum and weakest on profitability.

The model's view of MRNA · subscribers

Where MRNA ranks among the 1,500 U.S. stocks the model scores each trading day, its expected return, the evidence for and against it, and whether the model portfolio holds it. The grades below describe the company's data; they are not the model's view.

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What's happening with MRNA · updated 2026-10-05 · from prices and SEC filings

MRNA price performance

MRNA against the S&P 500, one year
+0%+250%+500%+750%MRNA +702%S&P 500 +18%2025-09-292026-10-05
Year to date+589.1%S&P 500 +14.5% · ahead by 574.6 pts
1 year+613.3%S&P 500 +17.0% · ahead by 596.2 pts
3 years+97.4%S&P 500 +89.3% · ahead by 8.1 pts
5 years-38.8%S&P 500 +91.3% · behind by 130.1 pts

Total returns with dividends reinvested.

MRNA factor grades

Each grade compares MRNA with the rest of its sector (A+ best, F worst); the numbers behind it are shown with the typical figure for its peers.

–ValueFCF yield -1.5% (industry 4.8%)
–GrowthRevenue growth -28% (industry +9%)
FProfitabilityOperating margin -149.0% (industry 26.2%)ROIC -46.6% (industry 14.0%)
A+Momentum12-month change +613%From 52-wk high -0%

MRNA in plain numbers

MRNA key statistics

SectorHealth Care
IndustryBiotechnology
IndexS&P 500
Market value$81.1B
Revenue growth (y/y)-28%
Free-cash-flow yield-1.5%
Dividend yieldn/a
Next earnings (expected)2026-11-05
Valuation measures
Market value$81.1B
Enterprise value$80.0B
Price / sales36.4x
Price / book12.0x
EV / revenue35.9x
Financial highlights
Revenue, last 12 months$2.2B
Net income, last 12 months-$3.2B
EPS, last 12 months (GAAP)$-7.99
Gross margin23.4%
Operating margin-149.0%
Net margin-141.4%
Return on equity-39.0%
Return on invested capital-46.6%
Cash$1.7B
Total debt$591.0M
Debt / equity0.09x
Free cash flow, last 12 months-$1.2B
Current ratio2.29x

Company figures from its latest SEC filings; market value and returns from end-of-day prices.

MRNA earnings trends

Revenue vs earnings
-$1.3B-$541.8M$259.5M$1.1B$1.9BSep 2024 Revenue: $1.9BDec 2024 Revenue: $1.0BMar 2025 Revenue: $108.0MJun 2025 Revenue: $142.0MSep 2025 Revenue: $1.0BDec 2025 Revenue: $678.0MMar 2026 Revenue: $389.0MJun 2026 Revenue: $145.0MSep 2024 Net income: $13.0MDec 2024 Net income: -$1.1BMar 2025 Net income: -$1.0BJun 2025 Net income: -$825.0MSep 2025 Net income: -$200.0MDec 2025 Net income: -$826.0MMar 2026 Net income: -$1.3BJun 2026 Net income: -$782.0MSep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Net margin: 0.7%Net margin: -115.9%Net margin: -899.1%Net margin: -581.0%Net margin: -19.7%Net margin: -121.8%Net margin: -345.2%Net margin: -539.3%-899%-449%1%■ Revenue ■ Net income ━ Net margin
Earnings per share$-3.4$-2.5$-1.7$-0.8$0.0Sep 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $0.0Dec 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-2.9Mar 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-2.5Jun 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-2.1Sep 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-0.5Dec 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-2.1Mar 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-3.4Jun 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $-2.0Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026■ EPS (GAAP, diluted) Change from a year earlier: Sep 2025 -1800%

From the company's 10-Q and 10-K filings with the SEC.

Moderna financials (from SEC filings)

Fiscal yearFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$18.5B$19.3B$6.8B$3.2B$1.9B
Net income$12.2B$8.4B-$4.7B-$3.6B-$2.8B
EPS (GAAP)$28.29$20.01$-12.40$-9.28$-7.27
Free cash flow$13.3B$4.6B-$3.8B-$4.1B-$2.1B

MRNA earnings history

ReportedEPS (GAAP)EPS y/yRevenue y/yStock vs S&P 500, 2 days
2026-07-31$-1.97n/a+2%-7.0%
2026-05-01$-3.40n/a+260%+3.0%
2026-02-13$-2.11n/a-30%+9.3%
2026-01-12$-2.11n/a-30%+15.5%
2025-11-06$-0.51-1800%-45%+5.1%
2025-08-01$-2.13n/a-41%-6.4%

About Moderna

HeadquartersCambridge, MA
Industry (SEC code)Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Fiscal year endsDecember 31
Incorporated inDE
Listed onNasdaq
FormerlyModerna Therapeutics, Inc.

From the company's SEC registration record.

Companies similar to MRNA

CompanyMarket valueP/ERevenue growthOperating margin12-month change
MRNA Moderna$81.1Bn/a-28%-149.0%+613%
REGN Regeneron$77.0B18.0x+9%24.7%+22%compare
VRTX Vertex$127.6B29.3x+10%38.0%+25%compare
GILD Gilead$179.3Bn/a+6%-8.2%+32%compare
BIIB Biogen$33.0B24.0x+1%n/a+40%
AMGN Amgen$217.9B25.0x+9%30.0%+39%
INCY Incyte$22.8B16.1x+21%30.0%+31%

All Health Care stock ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is MRNA stock a buy?

Torvanta does not tell individuals what to buy. Its grades for MRNA are shown above. Subscribers see the model's rank, expected return and whether the model portfolio holds it. This is research, not a recommendation.

When does MRNA report earnings next?

Based on its filing history, Torvanta expects Moderna to report around 2026-11-05.

How has MRNA performed against the S&P 500?

Over the past year MRNA returned +613.3%, against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends reinvested.

See the model's view

Subscribers get the model's rank and expected return for every covered company, the reasoning behind each, and the Torvanta model portfolio's trades each trading day, sized and explained, at three risk levels.

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Torvanta is research only - not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Grades describe a company's reported data against its sector; they are not the model's view, change as data changes and can be wrong. Financial figures come from the company's SEC filings; returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results.

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