TORVANTA
Materials · S&P 500 · data as of 2026-10-05

CF stock analysis: CF Industries

CF Industries (CF) is an S&P 500 company in Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals. It grades strongest on value and profitability.

The model's view of CF · subscribers

Where CF ranks among the 1,500 U.S. stocks the model scores each trading day, its expected return, the evidence for and against it, and whether the model portfolio holds it. The grades below describe the company's data; they are not the model's view.

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What's happening with CF · updated 2026-10-05 · from prices and SEC filings

CF price performance

CF against the S&P 500, one year
+0%+25%+50%CF +31%S&P 500 +18%2025-09-292026-10-05
Year to date+52.2%S&P 500 +14.5% · ahead by 37.7 pts
1 year+31.4%S&P 500 +17.0% · ahead by 14.4 pts
3 years+53.2%S&P 500 +89.3% · behind by 36.1 pts
5 years+113.0%S&P 500 +91.3% · ahead by 21.7 pts

Total returns with dividends reinvested.

CF factor grades

Each grade compares CF with the rest of its sector (A+ best, F worst); the numbers behind it are shown with the typical figure for its peers.

A+ValueP/E 8.6x (sector 21.7x)FCF yield 10.9% (sector 4.4%)
BGrowthRevenue growth +20% (sector +6%)EPS growth +76% (sector +14%)
A+ProfitabilityOperating margin 41.1% (sector 10.4%)ROIC 39.5% (sector 9.9%)
BMomentum12-month change +31%From 52-wk high -17%

CF in plain numbers

CF key statistics

SectorMaterials
IndustryFertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
IndexS&P 500
Market value$17.6B
Revenue growth (y/y)+20%
Free-cash-flow yield10.9%
Dividend yield1.8%
Next earnings (expected)2026-11-04
Valuation measures
Market value$17.6B
Enterprise value$18.3B
P/E (trailing)8.6x
Forward P/E (Torvanta estimate)6.9x
PEG (Torvanta estimate)0.27
Price / sales2.3x
Price / book3.1x
EV / revenue2.4x
EV / EBITDA4.5x
Financial highlights
Revenue, last 12 months$7.7B
Net income, last 12 months$2.5B
EPS, last 12 months (GAAP)$13.48
Gross margin42.5%
Operating margin41.1%
Net margin32.3%
Return on equity46.7%
Return on invested capital39.5%
Cash$2.5B
Total debt$3.2B
Debt / equity0.56x
Free cash flow, last 12 months$1.9B
Interest cover18.6x
Current ratio4.86x

Company figures from its latest SEC filings; market value and returns from end-of-day prices.

CF earnings trends

Revenue vs earnings
$0$555.5M$1.1B$1.7B$2.2BSep 2024 Revenue: $1.4BDec 2024 Revenue: $1.5BMar 2025 Revenue: $1.7BJun 2025 Revenue: $1.9BSep 2025 Revenue: $1.7BDec 2025 Revenue: $1.9BMar 2026 Revenue: $2.0BJun 2026 Revenue: $2.2BSep 2024 Net income: $341.0MDec 2024 Net income: $392.0MMar 2025 Net income: $351.0MJun 2025 Net income: $492.0MSep 2025 Net income: $460.0MDec 2025 Net income: $495.0MMar 2026 Net income: $676.0MJun 2026 Net income: $869.0MSep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Net margin: 24.9%Net margin: 25.7%Net margin: 21.1%Net margin: 26.0%Net margin: 27.7%Net margin: 26.4%Net margin: 34.0%Net margin: 39.1%0%20%39%■ Revenue ■ Net income ━ Net margin
Earnings per share$0.0$1.2$2.4$3.6$4.7Sep 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $1.6Dec 2024 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $1.9Mar 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $1.9Jun 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $2.4Sep 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $2.2Dec 2025 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $2.6Mar 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.0Jun 2026 EPS (GAAP, diluted): $4.7Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026■ EPS (GAAP, diluted) Change from a year earlier: Sep 2025 +41% · Dec 2025 +37% · Mar 2026 +115% · Jun 2026 +100%

From the company's 10-Q and 10-K filings with the SEC.

CF Industries financials (from SEC filings)

Fiscal yearFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$6.5B$11.2B$6.6B$5.9B$7.1B
Net income$1.3B$3.9B$1.8B$1.5B$1.8B
EPS (GAAP)$4.24$16.31$7.85$6.76$8.99
Free cash flow$2.4B$3.4B$2.3B$1.8B$1.8B

CF earnings history

ReportedEPS (GAAP)EPS y/yRevenue y/yStock vs S&P 500, 2 days
2026-08-05$4.73+100%+18%-0.8%
2026-05-06$3.98+115%+19%-8.4%
2026-02-18$2.58+37%+23%+5.8%
2025-11-05$2.19+41%+21%-2.9%
2025-08-06$2.37+3%+20%-11.3%
2025-05-07$1.85+80%+13%-1.9%

About CF Industries

HeadquartersNorthbrook, IL
Industry (SEC code)Agricultural Chemicals
Fiscal year endsDecember 31
Incorporated inDE
Listed onNYSE

From the company's SEC registration record.

Companies similar to CF

CompanyMarket valueP/ERevenue growthOperating margin12-month change
CF CF Industries$17.6B8.6x+20%41.1%+31%
DD DuPont$17.6Bn/a-26%n/a+32%compare
IP International Paper$17.0Bn/a+14%n/a-29%compare
LYB LyondellBasell$19.1Bn/a-11%3.1%+27%compare
AMCR Amcor$19.3B21.7x+57%8.1%+8%
BALL Ball Corp$15.1B16.2x+16%n/a+15%
PKG Packaging Corp$20.4B29.8x+10%10.9%+10%

All Materials stock ratings

Frequently asked questions

Is CF stock a buy?

Torvanta does not tell individuals what to buy. Its grades for CF are shown above. Subscribers see the model's rank, expected return and whether the model portfolio holds it. This is research, not a recommendation.

What is CF's P/E ratio?

CF trades at about 8.6 times its last 12 months of GAAP earnings reported to the SEC, and about 6.9 times Torvanta's own estimate of the next 12 months.

When does CF report earnings next?

Based on its filing history, Torvanta expects CF Industries to report around 2026-11-04.

Does CF pay a dividend?

Yes. Its dividend yield is about 1.8%.

How has CF performed against the S&P 500?

Over the past year CF returned +31.4%, against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends reinvested.

See the model's view

Subscribers get the model's rank and expected return for every covered company, the reasoning behind each, and the Torvanta model portfolio's trades each trading day, sized and explained, at three risk levels.

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Torvanta is research only - not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Grades describe a company's reported data against its sector; they are not the model's view, change as data changes and can be wrong. Financial figures come from the company's SEC filings; returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results.

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